Horse racing speed analysis is a central issue since the key factor to winning a race lies in managing speed throughout the race. Flat straight track (blue), +3% slope for 630m at the beginning of the race (orange), +3% slope for 630m at the middle of the race (green), +3% slope for 630m at the end of the race (red). We will see that curvature and altitude have a strong effect on the optimal velocity. Stay ahead of the game with daily updates on Race Cards, Horse Racing Ratings, and Horse Racing Systems for both British and Irish Racing. Line 1214: As the inline comment has explained, our neural network will need 14 horses data as input. For this purpose, the horse is identified with a bending rod. Find everything you need to know about horse racing at Equibase.com. No, PLOS is a nonprofit 501(c)(3) corporation, #C2354500, based in San Francisco, California, US, Corrections, Expressions of Concern, and Retractions, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235024. We see that the is increasing for about 400 meters, while the force is decreasing. Participants in the Betfair Exchange horse racing markets are now able to leverage the considerable power of the TPD in running data, at a very affordable price. When trotting, another way to analyze speed is, The highlight of a race and the most beautiful impressions of speed often occur in the final straight line, at the. Horses record at todays distance Horses record on todays surface Lifetime earnings for the horse The trainer and stats The jockey and stats Speed figures This is an impressive amount of information when you consider that it is all delivered in the space of about one paragraph. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235024.g007. So Paulo State University (UNESP), BRAZIL, Received: June 5, 2020; Accepted: October 18, 2020; Published: December 2, 2020. The average speed in the last 400m is slightly lower than in France. It is a system of coupled ordinary differential equations on the velocity, the propulsive force and the anaerobic energy, that leads to an optimal control problem that we solve. The end of the track is uphill and one notices that the velocity curves corresponding to going up (brown, red) cannot provide a speeding up as high as the two others. The Daily Racing Form is the exclusive outlet for the Beyer Speed Figures, listing them in its past performances that also include running lines, a pace figure, some pertinent stats, info on turf and mud breeding, workouts, and a couple of sentences about the horses chances. Copyright: 2020 Mercier, Aftalion. Therefore, a good knowledge of the track and training are crucial to adapt the global pacing strategy rather than slowing down because of bends or slopes. Welcome to Equibase.com, your official source for horse racing results, mobile racing data, statistics as well as all other horse racing and thoroughbred racing Create your own reports, check system profitability, export data to Excel, save Green: horse of the 1300m, orange: horse of the 1900m, pink: horse of the 2100m. First of all, it can be seen that the racepace is on average higher at Chantilly than at Deauville and Longchamp. Instead of writing the equations of motion in the time variable, we write them using the distance from start s. This amounts to dividing by v the derivatives in time in order to get the derivatives in space. Our aim is therefore to identify the physiological parameters fM, , u+, u, e0, (e) from the available data. A swarm of designs {pi} is tested, that is the optimal control problem is solved for these parameters using Bocop, and its objective value is calculated. There are no limits on how many different platforms you can access with your TPD Zone subscription. For a maximal value of equal to 47, this yields a of 133.6 ml/mn/kg. From one country to another, how do racing and training strategies vary? In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If the slope is at the beginning, it has a strong effect on the velocity which cannot reach its maximum value. The identification process is made through a bi-level optimization procedure looking for minimizing errors between the response of a Bocop simulation and the data through the following objective Methodology, Using an overall speed rating for a horse will not provide a good indication of how a horse will perform in a specific race. We also have horse ratings systems that are based on our machine learning algorithm which works in the background. To maximize an individual horses potential for winning, it should be entered in races appropriate for its racing ability. 1. Racing is hard on horses bodies. Horses often start racing when theyre just 2 years old. Thats too young. Their bones are still growing, and their bodies arent ready for the pressure of running at full speed on a hard track, so they can get injured more easily than older horses. Once you have good speed ratings, all you need to do is pick out the horse with the best speed rating in the field and youre looking at a horse with good prospects. For the ease of completeness, we provide below the full optimal control problem though the results of the paper do not require to understand it and the reader can skip this paragraph as a first reading. data). Indeed, once the maximal oxygen uptake is attained, the extra energy to increase speed further is provided by anaerobic pathways. They can shed valuable light on the way races are run, particularly because they allow you to analyse the different phases of the race, acceleration strategies and speeds in the final stretch. The actual calculation of the speed index starts with taking the three fastest winning times at a particular distance for the past three years at a given track. portalId: "5002023", The effect of the bend and centrifugal force are obvious: it leads to a decrease in propulsive force and velocity. Using the latest GNSS / GPS positioning technology, designed and developed in Cambridge, TPDs Race Pace positioning data No need for live, 10 min after the race is OK, These prices are applicable for personal and internal use. The horse in second place at the first quarter mile of these races won 17.5% of the time. The system relies on Newtons second law of motion and the energy balance which takes into account the physiology of horses. And finally our racecards show our ratings for every race, and you can sort them while looking at system picks, statistics and even our historic record at each course. Details of split times during racesin Chantilly, Deauville, Longchamp (France) and Meydan (Duba), Keywords: horse racing speed analysis, finish line, acceleration strategies, speed strategies, analysis of intermediate times, international, Dec 13, 2022 | Health & Science, Sports & Data. WebThis button displays the currently selected search type. Instead they provide speed ratings over a horses career, or for recent races, without taking ground preferences or other important variables into account. Due to limitations in the measurement of the mean oxygen uptake () for a horse at high exercise, no information is available on the full profile in a race, depending on the distance. WebAfter many years of deliberation the UK Horse Racing Speed Ratings are are now available. Yes Daily Horse Racing tips. It insures overall robustness in the results as the design space is always well explored before converging toward a particular area of the design space. This is important to keep in mind, because a number of services which provide speed ratings for horses do not provide this information. However, this is no small undertaking. Proprietary to and 2023 Equibase Company LLC. All races are different and many events disrupt the evolution of speed during the race. The first bend has a strong curvature and therefore reduces drastically the velocity as we can see in Fig 9b: the propulsive force is reduced in the first bend. Click through the PLOS taxonomy to find articles in your field. Proprietary to and 2023 Equibase Company LLC. Sign up for your free trial today, and test it out! The physiology of the horse is taken into account through a number of parameters: These parameters are not measured or given but they are computed numerically for each horse and each race: they are the parameters that allow the optimal control problem to best fit the data, as we will explain below. Expert picks, live race video, and home to Beyer Speed Figures. It is only when reaching the clothoid, before the final straight, after 600 meters, that the horse can speed up again. We use this to find horses who are 'flying under the radar' by not topping any rating, but who are well-rated all-round. Nevertheless, a portable mask technology has been developed [5], but to our knowledge no track tests have been yet performed on Thoroughbred racehorses. This is achieved by creating a FREE TPD.Zone Account and purchasing a Live Data Subscription.A subscription to TPD Zone will enable access to the in running data via various web apps and trading software platforms. 2LR, 3LR, 4LR - the same calculation as for the LR rating, but depreciated over time. WebSpeed index (sometimes speed rating) is a system of rating the performance of Quarter Horse racehorses.The American Quarter Horse Association (or the AQHA) has used two A great feature is the 1-3, 4-8, and 9-12 columns that tell you at what percentage the horse has finished in those places. 1:10.37 Finish 1:17.09 Fractional Times: 22.43 45.09 1:10.37 Final Time: 1:17.09 Split Times: (22.66) (25.28) (6.72) Run-Up: 40 feet Winner: Stand for Freedom, Bay Colt, by American Freedom out of Roundnroundwego, by Elusive Quality. We describe below the results of our simulations. formId: "d01f22bb-5b4c-4eb3-9a24-219a6869b198" Speed - a rating for the horse's speed, weighted towards its most recent speeds and also its speed at the track. Our ratings are compiled with reference to our own unique weight for age scales, Daily race entries, odds and results for the world's best horse racing. The curve vs distance and propulsive force vs distance are plotted in Fig 6. In what follows, we will attempt to quantify the impact that the different parameters can have on the way the race is run. You have access to JSON flows containing XML files or to our consulting tools (data live board, database), it depends on your need and your offer. Therefore, the speed indexes are unequal and difficult to use when comparing horses from different tracks. The maximum level of data provided on every horse :+30 indicators every 10th of a second (recommended for data treatment). There are at least two popular speed ratings services that take into account race variables when calculating racehorse speed. Speed ratings give you the power to do something that few other racehorse variables can match. WebDaily Racing Form pdf past performances, charts and other handicapping reports require Adobe Reader Version 5.0 or higher. The optimal control problem for horse performance is solved using Bocop, an open licence software developed by Inria-Saclay France [19]. WebWelcome to Equibase.com, your official source for horse racing results, mobile racing data, statistics as well as all other horse racing and thoroughbred racing information. Position, speed, distance every possible type of data that a high-accuracy positioning system and an inertial unit can deliver together. The data consist of two dimensional position and speed sampled at 10 Hz for horses racing in Chantilly (France), at the end of the 2019 Thoroughbred horse racing The horses are trained intensely to run at high speed and perform at maximum capacity. The end of the race is with a strong acceleration before the final slight slow down. .hs-submit{display: inline-block; color: white;} The results of our simulations even provide precise information on the curve all along the race. The story behind the man who brought us Moon Deck, Top Moon and Jet Deck. New York Thoroughbred Breeding & Development Fund. Leverage your expertise with our blog articles. Full T&Cs here. The mechanical part takes into account the positive slope or negative ramp (s), the bending of the track and the control on the variations of the propulsive force. here. Therefore, we have chosen horses which seemed to be close to have run a race which would have been similar if they were alone, and could be qualified as their optimal race. And thats not even taking into account how youll figure out how to compile these variables into a rating to get the most effective results. Indeed, a good horse can still provide a strong effort at the end of the race, even if he is tired. Let v0 be the initial velocity. The specificity of the track is that there is a bend of 500 meters before the final straight, where the track is going down in the first quarter (about 1.5%) and going up in the second quarter (about 2%). The authors also wish to thank France Galop and Mc Lloyd for providing the data and for their interest in this work. The speed ratings took quite a few years of research, particularly going through the American-based literature such as by Andrew Beyer and Joe Cardello. The Racing Post publishes a Topspeed rating for every horse after a race, taking into account changing race variables when calculating a speed rating for the horse. Every day (well, almost every day), we publish our ratings preview.You can get it free of charge. Though the track is going down, the centrifugal force reduces the propulsive force as we see in Fig 4b (the black curve shows the limitation due to the centrifugal force). For example a horse that has an excellent speed rating over all weather tracks over 5 furlongs is not going to deliver an equally strong performance over a mile on a heavy turf track. The horse of the 1300m is a young horse and he needs more time (or a bigger distance) to reach (1214m vs 839 or 889 for the two others). Web Racecourse Horses Racing Android latest 2.11.2 APK Download and Install. Beginners and experts alike will benefit from this valuable ebook. For a ramp going down, as illustrated in Fig 12, it is the opposite: the best time is obtained when the ramp is at the beginning of the race. The only effect is on the optimization of performace. Web350,000 horses in the country. This is where it has the smallest decrease on the velocity profile. Flat straight track (blue), +3% ramp down for 630m at the beginning of the race (orange), +3% ramp for 630m at the middle of the race (green), +3% slope for 630m at the end of the race (red). All Rights Reserved. Jockey - a rating for the horse's jockey, weighted towards recent form, the jockey's record with the horse, the track and the yard, Trainer - a rating for the horse's trainer, weighted towards recent form, the yard's record with the horse and the track, Stallion - perfect for 2-year-old races, a stallion rating is based on the success of a horse's progeny in similar conditions, Suitability - a rating built from a wide range of factors such as the horse's record in similar conditions (distance, ground, track, surface, etc.). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235024.g004. Eventually, a fast start does not necessarily induce a good performance. }. The discretisation used to solve the system of coupled ODEs is set to one point every two meters which ensure the same accuracy whatever the race. Its not a task for the faint hearted, or anyone who does not have sufficient coding ability to scan through race result data and automatically crunch the numbers. How to analyse the recovery of an eventing horse. The parameter p refers to the vector containing all the variables to identify: RateThatHorse is a unique service we offer daily horse racing ratings through our spreadsheet and PDF downloads, but we also crunch that data with statistics and machine learning so that we can give youmore than just ratings we give you a head start. .hs-button{background-color: #6284a9; border-radius: 3px;} Centre dAnalyse et de Mathmatique Sociales, CNRS UMR-8557, Ecole des Hautes tudes en Sciences Sociales, Paris, France, Roles It is a miniaturized device which does not bring any discomfort to the horse or the jockey. RTH-Ratings-5-3-23Download Main-PDF-5-3-23Download Selections-PDF-5-3-23Download, RTH-Ratings-4-3-23Download Main-PDF-4-3-23Download Selections-PDF-4-3-23Download, RTH-Ratings-3-3-23Download Main-PDF-3-3-23Download Selections-PDF-3-3-23Download, RTH-Ratings-2-3-23Download Main-PDF-2-3-23Download Selections-PDF-2-3-23Download, RTH-Ratings-1-3-23Download Main-PDF-1-3-23Download Selections-PDF-1-3-23Download, RTH-Ratings-28-2-23Download Main-PDF-28-2-23Download Selections-PDF-28-2-23Download, RTH-Ratings-27-2-23Download Main-PDF-27-2-23Download Selections-PDF-27-2-23Download, RTH-Ratings-26-2-23Download Main-PDF-26-2-23Download Selections-PDF-26-2-23Download, RTH-Ratings-25-2-23Download Main-PDF-25-2-23Download Selections-PDF-25-2-23Download, RTH-Ratings-24-2-23Download Main-PDF-24-2-23Download Selections-PDF-24-2-23Download, Mine the data from ALL racecards to find horses that have strong jockey ratings AND strong form ratings, Find horses whose forecast odds are above 5/1, but who are well-suited to todays conditions, Discover horses who are well-rated, and who are running off a weight that is lower than its previous win, Find horses who have progressed in form ratings, but also have a good C&D record, without being penalised by the handicapper, Create your own method for finding horses that are under or over-valued by the market, Spreadsheet with summary page, race-by-race data & one-sheet database, Tools for finding selections, e.g. So, you want the speed ratings to always reflect the speed of the horse when it has run in a similar race with similar conditions. Therefore, for a fixed distance, the model predicts the final time, the velocity curve and the effort developed by the horse to produce the optimal strategy. .hs-main-font-element{color: #29353d} }); Speed ratings give Quarter Horse handicappers another number to compare speed at the race track. .hs-error-msg{color: #29353d} 2023
Join today and get 14 days free to trial our data. Therefore information on a horse speed, endurance or running economy coupled with simulations can help to predict how a horse profile is adapted to some distances to run. for s [0, d]. The energy balance is between the aerobic contribution or (e), the anaerobic contribution e(s) and the power developed by the propulsive force. WebWelcome to Equibase.com, your official source for horse racing results, mobile racing data, statistics as well as all other horse racing and thoroughbred racing information. Each identification process has reached the stopping criterion described. Form Guide Free Blackbook Service Special Read More 2012 Golden Slipper speed map The 2012 Golden Slipper will be run and won on Saturday 7th April. 02 Mar 2023 07:00:52 The data consist of two dimensional position and speed sampled at 10 Hz for horses racing in Chantilly (France), at the end of the 2019 Thoroughbred horse racing season. It weighs 90g and is put by the jockey under the saddle. Software, WebTaking what we know from soccer and distrupting the real-time data space in Horse Racing. Yes, data is available in live, with a very low latency from reality (1.5s on from the horse to your screen). It is now used by France Galop on all races to provide live position information to the audience. No, Is the Subject Area "Animal performance" applicable to this article? The speed of a horse is the ratio between the distance hes going to run and how long its going to take him to travel that distance. Get AQHA's FREE Horse Racing: Speed Rules ebook. The leader at the first quarter-mile of these races (both sprints and routes) won 29.3% of the time. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. All Free Bets must be wagered within 30 days. The solution of the optimal control problem yields, for each race and each horse, the optimal effort, regulation of velocity and the profile depending on the length and topography of the race. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235024.g005, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235024.g006, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235024.t002. At the end, the decreases when the residual anaerobic energy reaches a third of its initial value. They reach the maximal oxygen uptake () much quicker than humans, nevertheless no precise estimate of the time needed to reach a steady state is known. And speed ratings are easy to use. To give a rough estimate, over the last 200 meters, 3 km/h of difference between two horses induces about 10 meters of difference, the slowest horse must therefore be thrown 10 meters earlier to have a chance to cross the line in the lead. We observe that there is a strong start with the maximal velocity being reached in 300 meters. SHORTLY no speed from gate, raced back to turn, rally to improve late. I originally wrote this article about visualising horse racing speed ratings on the 2nd January 2010. background-color: white; .hs-submit{display: inline-block; color: white;} It can only take place after the bend where the centrifugal force reduces the available propulsive force. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235024.t001. For the bend, as illustrated in Fig 13, the best time is obtained when the bend is at the middle of the race. Using the ZEDalytics from MJ Informatics, you get a breakdown of a horses performance across each distance listed in preference order. There are a number of other speed rating services out there that do the hard yards in terms of number crunching and claim to provide the most accurate speed ratings. Searching by Foaling Year can take up to a minute. In the event that the user wishes to use this data for third parties (resale, sharing, etc.) When trotting, another way to analyze speed is preferred when studying mileage reductions. WebPerformance Charts & Ratings for Horse Racing Daily race entries, odds and results for the world's best horse racing. As usual, horses ranked worse than third are given four points. In total, this explains why the horse of the 1900m has a lower contribution of the anaerobic energy to the total energy. Once you select the conditions you wish to filter for, Proform will automatically recalculate and display relevant speed ratings, creating a much more accurate picture of the horses capabilities in the given conditions. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235024.g008, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235024.g009. It is based on the model developed in [1618] for human races and it is adapted here to horses to fit the data. Is the straight line always run faster than the rest of the race? Raw and smoothed data tf = 130.933s) and computed velocity (tf = 130.933s) for the identified parameters. What Are the Odds for Horse Racing? The odds are how pricing and payouts are displayed at a horse track. The odds of winning a horse bet are represented by numbers 4-7 or 2-5, which show how much you will pay and how much you will earn back if your chance is successful. WebThere are at least two popular speed ratings services that take into account race variables when calculating racehorse speed. .actions{margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 0px;} WebThe Importance of Early Speed. Visualization, Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points. In Fig 7, we have plotted a zoom on the velocity curve for the identified parameters, and then have removed the effect of the slope (flat track), of the curvature (straight track) and of both (flat, straight track). In fact, speed ratings can be so powerful that many punters will ignore other factors like form and official ratings entirely and focus exclusively on assessing horses by their speed. In Table 4, we have computed the percentage of anaerobic energy to the total energy according to the length and duration of the race. For all the examples treated in this paper, the swarm size is set to 50 particles and a maximum of 150 iterations. here. .hs-email{max-width: 100% !important; width: 100%; display: inline-block; vertical-align: bottom;} Because the change of slope in is related not exactly to the distance but to the available stock in anaerobic capacity, a high anaerobic capacity is all the more important to maintain high velocities all along the race. This means you only get an overall idea of a horses capabilities without an assurance that these will hold up in the particular race you are backing, unless it typically races in very similar events. The velocity data (raw and smoothed) and the velocity computed with our model are plotted in Fig 3 for the 1300m. It allows smooth variations of velocities which are more comfortable for horses. What depth of data do you want to access ? Investigation, Estimates on the proportion of energy derived from aerobic and anaerobic pathways during competitive events have been made according to breed and length of race [10] but the relationship that exists between performance and anaerobic capacity remains to be determined. There were 60,881 throughbred horse races run in North America in the last 365 days. WebIn-Running Data and Horseracing Timing Technology. View the Golden Rose speed map. Then the velocity decreases, and in particular in the bend, between 300 and 600 meters from start. Arm yourself with horse-racing knowledge with AQHA's FREE Horse Racing: Speed Rules e-book. Equibase Company LLC. While a fast start helps to speed up kinetics, and limits the participation of the anaerobic system in the intermediate part of the race, nevertheless, if it is too fast, it has the potential to cause fatigue and have an overall negative effect on the performance. Welcome to Equibase.com, your official source for horse racing results, mobile racing data, statistics as well as all other horse racing and thoroughbred racing information. 600+ meetings. please contact us. No, Is the Subject Area "Velocity" applicable to this article? Which is nice #sportsbiz #horseracing #sportsdata If horse is unnamed, click here to search by Year of Birth and Dam. the 1300 meters is a short exercise where, or an arc of circle with a curvature of 1/100. Supervision, From 500/month to 3000/month, it depends on your needs. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235024.t003. The ability to maintain a high for a long time is related to the ability to maintain velocity. WebDaily Racing Form - Thoroughbred horse racing past performances, results, and entries with morning line odds from all major North American racetracks 24 to 72 hours prior to This maps nicely for Red Resistance who will control and take a power of getting past with 2 wins and recent 5L trial win. Is the Subject Area "Horses" applicable to this article? Speed can be expressed in several ways according to geographical areas, and by discipline. There are no limits on how many different platforms you can access with your TPD Zone subscription. As soon as there is a slope or ramp, the is also impacted. I have no technical skills, I want to access data. How five AQHYA members got a behind-the-scenes racing education. please contact us. broad scope, and wide readership a perfect fit for your research every time. The objective of this work is to provide a mathematical analysis on how a Thoroughbred horse should regulate its speed over the course of a race to optimize performance. a tie between two horses for first and second counts as 1.5 (1+2 = 3/2 = 1.5). We have highlighted the points where the changes slope. (left in green) and propulsive force (right): blue is the propulsive force f(s) in the direction of movement, black is the effective propulsive force taking into account the centrifugal force, where c is the curvature. The folks at TrackMaster have made several enhancements to the way they calculate the Quarter Horse speed rating. The process consists in identifying the physiological parameters of the horse from the data. WebDataForm speed and handicap ratings are scaled 0-140 for Flat and 0-175 for National Hunt. It also predicts how the horse has to change its effort and velocity according to the topography (altitude and bending) of the track. Data Availability: All relevant data are within the paper. Above 1400m, the race pace is moderate then the horses gradually accelerate to reach their maximum in the last 400-200m, then the average speed drops sharply in the last 200m. So if a horse has a higher , he will use less anaerobic energy to run at the same speed as a horse with a lower . Finally, they are very grateful to Pierre Martinon for his advice on Bocop. Raw and smoothed data (tf = 116.460s) and computed velocity (tf = 116.460s) for the identified parameters. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235024.g010. The parameters identified for this race are in Table 2. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235024.g012. McLloyd is the official tracking data provider for horse racing in France, 90+ indicatorsfor every horse,up to 10 times per second, 20+ tracked races a day with reports& JSON files live or after race. Believe us, its a lot ! This means that it will probably be rather powerful horses who will carry the victory. Using the Expected column, the lower number is better. The horses print a reasonable race pace of around 55km/h and gradually accelerate over the last 600m. This allows to notice the specific effects: a bend reduces strongly the velocity (pink curve); on the real track (brown curve), because the first part of the bend is going down, the reduction in propulsive force and velocity is not so strong. The use of what are known as 'speed maps' is a way of nailing down exactly how a race will be run. New York Thoroughbred Breeding & Development Fund. Fortunately you dont need to do this yourself.